COP29 and the US election: Where does the battle against climate change go now?
- 13 December 2024 (7 min read)
A meagre COP29 outcome
COP29’s progress on climate mitigation, as expected, was quite limited as it failed to move forward on the vital task of transitioning away from fossil fuels. In fact, this was not even mentioned in the final text of the agreement made at the United Nations climate change conference in Baku, Azerbaijan.1
From now on, all eyes should thus turn to COP30 - set to take place in Belém, Brazil - to see what comes out of updated National Determined Contributions (NDCs).
The UK and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) were among those announcing new NDCs during this Conference of the Parties (COP). The UK has committed to reducing its emissions by at least 81% by 2035, compared to 1990 levels, a clear progression on its previous NDC pledge to cut emissions by at least 68% by 2030.2
It is yet to be seen whether other developed countries will follow suit. For its part the UAE set a reduction target of 47% by 2035 compared to the 2019 baseline, up from a target of 19% by 2030 relative to 2019, which is not viewed as credible by Climate Action Tracker3 and does not reference any reduction in oil and gas production. This is not insignificant.
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